Misalan zaman wasa · Misali · minti 8

Misali: layin Labouchère

A rubuta 1-2-3-4, a yi caca da lambobin gefe, a goge su idan an ci, a ƙara asarar a ƙarshe. Tsarin gogewa ta hanyar layi ɗaya da ya ƙare da wani da ya kuɓuce.

Amsa a taƙaice

Zaman wasa na kwaikwayo na Labouchère, $5 a kowace raka'a, burin $50 a kowane layi. Layin farko ya ƙare a juye-juye 8 da $50 daidai. Na biyu ya kai layi mai lambobi 16 da kuɗin caca $200 kafin iyakar teburiteburIyakar teburiMafi ƙanƙanta da mafi girman cacar da aka yarda da ita. Mafi girman ita ce ke dakatar da jerin ƙarin caca masu ninkawa.Karanta gaba ɗaya → ta tilasta mana barin sa da asarar $400. Yawanci yana aiki, sannan kuma ba ya aiki.

raka'a
$5
layi
1 2 3 4 (buri $50)
kuɗin caca
lamba ta farko + ta ƙarshe
sakamako
−$350 a juye-juye 39

Ku bi tsarin mataki-mataki

Kuɗin caca shi ne lamba ta farko da ta ƙarshe a haɗe. Nasara tana goge su duka biyu. Asara tana rubuta kuɗin cacar a ƙarshen layi.

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kuɗin caca na gaba5sakamako zuwa yanzu0layukan da aka share0juye-juye0

Kuɗin caca da sakamako suna cikin raka'o'in cacar tushe.

Shirin

A rubuta 1 2 3 4 a kan kati. A kowane juyi, a sa kuɗin caca daidai da jimillar lambobi biyu na gefe, a kan jacacaJaCacar ɗaya zuwa ɗaya (even-money) a kan lambobi ja 18. A Faransanci: rouge.Karanta gaba ɗaya →. Nasara tana goge lambobin biyu; asara tana ƙara kuɗin cacar a gefen dama. Layin yana ƙarewa idan babu abin da ya rage, wanda ke ba da jimillar asali tsaf, raka'akuɗiRaka'aKuɗin caca na tushe da tsari ko ɗan wasa ke aiki da shi. Ana bayyana jerin ƙarin caca a raka'a don su yi aiki a kowane tebur.Karanta gaba ɗaya → 10, wato $50. Layi yana buƙatar nasara ɗaya kawai a kowace asara biyu don ya ƙare, domin kowace nasara tana cire lambobi biyu, kowace asara kuma tana ƙara ɗaya. Ja yana cin nasara a kashi 48.65% na juye-juye, wanda ya fi ɗaya cikin uku da ake buƙata, don haka yawancin layuka suna ƙarewa.

Layi na 1, juye-juye 1–8

1 2 3 4 → kuɗin caca 5 (1+4): A, layi 1 2 3 4 5. Kuɗin caca 6: N, layi 2 3 4. Kuɗin caca 6: A, layi 2 3 4 6. Kuɗin caca 8: N, layi 3 4. Kuɗin caca 7: A, layi 3 4 7. Kuɗin caca 10: N, layi 4. Kuɗin caca 4: A, layi 4 4. Kuɗin caca 8: N, ya ƙare. Juye-juye takwas, nasara huɗu da asara huɗu. Sakamakon tsaf +$50, daidai da burin, ba tare da kuɗin caca ya taɓa wuce $50 ba. Yana aiki kamar ƙaramar na'ura.

juyilayi kafinkuɗin cacasakamakolayi bayan
11 2 3 4$25A1 2 3 4 5
21 2 3 4 5$30N2 3 4
32 3 4$30A2 3 4 6
42 3 4 6$40N3 4
53 4$35A3 4 7
63 4 7$50N4
74$20A4 4
84 4$40Nya ƙare · +$50
Kuɗin caca a dala, raka'a $5. Layin yana ƙarewa duk lokacin da nasarori suka kai aƙalla rabin yawan asarori.
Layin farko ya ƙare a juye-juye takwas: nasara huɗu, asara huɗu, kuma an ci dukan burin.

Layi na 2, juye-juye 9–39

1 2 3 4 kuma. Asara goma sha ɗaya a juye-juye goma sha biyu na farko. Kowace asara tana ƙara lambar da ke jimillar wasu biyu, don haka layin yana ƙaruwa a tsawo da kuma a girman lambobi: bayan juye-juye goma sha biyu ya zama 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 14 16 18, kuɗin caca kuma $100. Zuwa juyi na 23 yana da lambobi 16, zagayen kuma yana a −$850. Nasarori suna goge manyan lambobin gefe, wanda ke taimakawa: nasara tara a juye-juye goma sha biyar na gaba sun rage layin zuwa 12 14 16 18, zagayen kuma zuwa −$250 a juyi na 38, kuɗin caca ya taɓa iyakar $200 a hanya. Sai sifilidabaranSifiliRamin kore guda ɗaya da babu cacar ɗaya zuwa ɗaya, ta dozin ko ta ginshiƙi da ke rufe shi; tushen fifikon gidan caca. Ana kuma kiransa: sifili ɗaya, 0.Karanta gaba ɗaya →: kuɗin caca $150 ya tafi, layin ya zama 12 14 16 18 30, kuɗin caca na gaba, $210, ya wuce iyaka. Zagayen yana a −$400. Muka tsaya. Da layin ya ƙare da +$50 a ƙarshe, idan “a ƙarshe” ya zo kafin iyakar teburi da ƙarewar jarin cacakuɗiJarin cacaJimillar kuɗin da aka ware don wasa. Sarrafa jarin caca shi ne yanke shawarar nawa za a sa a haɗari a kowace caca da kowane zaman wasa.Karanta gaba ɗaya →.

Wannan zaman wasa da wasu tara irinsasakamako idan aka kwatanta da farko
+$1,743$0−$500+$1,360−$2500125250375500juye-juyesakamako
zaman wasa 1,000 × juyi 500 · shunayya p10/p25/p75/p90, shuɗi mai haske tsakiya, samfurori 83 marasa haske · ku matsa a kan jadawalin don ganin kashi-kashi a wani juyi
  • p10 −$500
  • p25 −$500
  • tsakiya −$500
  • p75 −$500
  • p90 +$1,360
zaman wasa 1,000 × juyi 500 · an yanke layin y zuwa kashi na 1–99 (iyakoki −$500 zuwa +$1,933) · juyi 500 · tushe $5 · 1 zuwa 1
Yawancin layuka suna ƙarewa a ƙananan matakai. Waɗanda ba sa ƙarewa suna kuɓucewa da sauri fiye da Martingale, domin kuɗin caca jimilla ne, ba lamba ɗaya ba.

Lissafin kuɗi

Jimillar caca $3,770 a juye-juye 39, idan aka kwatanta da $195 a caca daidai-wa-daida. Asarar da ake tsammanilissafiAsarar da ake tsammaniƘimar da ake tsammani sau jimillar kuɗin da aka yi caca da su; matsakaicin adadin da ake rasawa a cikin zaman wasa ko wani lokaci.Karanta gaba ɗaya → a kan $3,770 ita ce $102; ainihin sakamako −$350, kusan sulusin standard deviationlissafiStandard deviationTushen murabba'i na bambancin sakamako; nisan da sakamako ke yawan yi daga ƙimar da ake tsammani.Karanta gaba ɗaya → ɗaya ƙasa da haka, domin a wannan girman kuɗin caca standard deviation ɗaya yana kusan $700. Layin LabouchèredabaraLabouchèreTsarin sharewa: a rubuta layin lambobi, a yi caca da jimillar lambobi biyu na ƙarshe, a share su bayan nasara, a ƙara kuɗin cacar da aka rasa bayan asara.Karanta gaba ɗaya → da ya kuɓuce yana da jimillar cacakuɗiJimillar cacaJimillar kuɗin da aka yi caca da su a cikin zaman wasa ko wani lokaci, har da kuɗin da aka ci aka sake sawa. Ana kuma kiranta: handle, action.Karanta gaba ɗaya → mafi nauyi a cikin duk tsare-tsaren da aka saba, domin kowace asara tana ƙara kuɗin caca da adadin asarar, layin kuma ba shi da iyaka sai ta tebur.

Abin da zaman wasan ya nuna

Labouchère yana da wata siffa da ba kasafai ake gani ba: yawanci yana aiki, shi ya sa ya zama abin hira a liyafar cin abinci na zamanin Victoria kuma shi ya sa har yanzu ake sayar da shi. Layukan da suka ƙare ƙanana ne kuma suna yawaita; layin da ya kuɓuce babba ne kuma ba kasafai ba, girmansa kuma ba shi da iyaka. Asarar da ake tsammani a kowace dala −2.70% ce a ɓangarorin biyu, kuma tasirin tsarin kawai shi ne ya zaɓi ɓangaren da kuke ciki a wani dare.

Tambayoyi

Zan iya raba layi mai tsawo?

Eh: layin 1 2 3 4 5 6 8 9 za a iya raba shi zuwa layuka biyu masu jimilla iri ɗaya, wanda ke rage kuɗin caca kuma ya ninka yawan layukan da za a ƙare. Yana canza siffa, ba farashi ba.

Me ya sa ba za a yi amfani da layi mafi gajarta ba?

Layin 1 1 buri ne na raka'a biyu da kuɗin caca $10; yana ƙarewa da sauri kuma yana kuɓucewa cikin sauƙi haka nan. Tsawon yana tsara burin ne kawai.

Wannan shi ne “tsarin gogewa” da ake sayarwa a intanet?

Eh, da sunaye kusan goma sha biyu. Henry Labouchère ne ya yaɗa shi a shekarun 1870; ba shi ne ya ƙirƙira shi ba.

Ɗan barkwanci

Yawanci yana ƙarewa. Waɗanda ba su ƙare ba suna buƙatar ƙarin takarda.

Yawanci yana ƙarewa. Waɗanda ba su ƙare ba suna buƙatar ƙarin takarda.

Majiyoyi

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Babi na 13, roulette.
  2. Schwartz, D. G. Roll the Bones: The History of Gambling. Gotham, 2006.
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