Dabarun caca na roulette · Ƙarin caca bayan asara · minti 8

Dabarar Fibonacci a roulette

A dabarar roulette ta Fibonacci, kuɗin caca yana bin 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13… Ana ci gaba mataki ɗaya bayan asara, ana komawa baya mataki biyu bayan nasara.

Amsa a taƙaice

Ba ta doke dabaran roulette ba; babu tsarin saka kuɗi da ke yin haka. Ta fi Martingale sauƙi, don haka tana jure dogayen jerin asara kafin ta kai iyakar teburi, kuma tana farfaɗowa a hankali fiye da shi. Asarar da ake tsammani ita ce 2.70% iri ɗaya na jimillar cacakuɗiJimillar cacaJimillar kuɗin da aka yi caca da su a cikin zaman wasa ko wani lokaci, har da kuɗin da aka ci aka sake sawa. Ana kuma kiranta: handle, action.Karanta gaba ɗaya →.

jeri
1 1 2 3 5 8 13 21
bayan asara
+1 mataki
bayan nasara
−2 matakai
iyakar $500 daga $10
bayan asarori ~10

Yadda ake gina jerin

Kowace lamba jimillar lambobi biyu ne da ke gabanta.

11235813

Don haka bayan 8 da 13 sai 21.

Ku zana kowace lamba a matsayin murabba'i, murabba'an kuma za su haɗu daidai: kowane sabo tsawonsa daidai yake da na biyun da ke gabansa idan aka jera su gefe da gefe. Rubu'in da'ira a cikin kowane murabba'i yana haɗuwa ya zama karkace.

2×23×35×58×813×1321×21

Ku bi jerin mataki-mataki

Asara tana matsawa mataki ɗaya zuwa dama. Nasara tana komawa baya mataki biyu.

11235813213455Asara
kuɗin caca na gaba1sakamako zuwa yanzu0juye-juye0

Kuɗin caca da sakamako suna cikin raka'o'in cacar tushe.

Yaya tsarin roulette na Fibonacci ke aiki?

Ku rubuta lambobin FibonaccidabaraFibonacciJerin ƙarin caca da ke bin jerin lambobi 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13…: mataki ɗaya gaba bayan asara, matakai biyu baya bayan nasara.Karanta gaba ɗaya →: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144. Kowace ɗaya jimillar biyun da ke gabanta ce. Ku fara daga ta farko kuma ku saka raka'o'ikuɗiRaka'aKuɗin caca na tushe da tsari ko ɗan wasa ke aiki da shi. Ana bayyana jerin ƙarin caca a raka'a don su yi aiki a kowane tebur.Karanta gaba ɗaya → daidai da ita. Idan kun yi asara, ku matsa mataki ɗaya zuwa dama. Idan kun ci, ku matsa mataki biyu zuwa hagu, ko ku koma farko idan babu wuri. Wannan shi ne duka tsarin. Teburin yana nuna abin da kowane mataki ke ci: jerin asarori da iyakar teburiteburIyakar teburiMafi ƙanƙanta da mafi girman cacar da aka yarda da ita. Mafi girman ita ce ke dakatar da jerin ƙarin caca masu ninkawa.Karanta gaba ɗaya → ko jarin cacarkukuɗiJarin cacaJimillar kuɗin da aka ware don wasa. Sarrafa jarin caca shi ne yanke shawarar nawa za a sa a haɗari a kowace caca da kowane zaman wasa.Karanta gaba ɗaya → ya katse yana rasa jimillar duk abin da aka saka zuwa lokacin.

matakikuɗin caca (raka'a)jimillar haɗaritsaf bayan nasara
111+1
2120
3240
437−1
5512−2
6820−4
71333−7
82154−12
93488−20
1055143−33
1189232−54
12144376−88
Jimillar haɗari ita ce jimillar abin da aka rasa idan kowace caca a jerin ta yi asara. Idan raka'a $10 ce, mataki na 11 caca ce ta $890 kuma an riga an rasa $2,320. Tsaf bayan nasara shi ne sakamakon jerin idan cacar wannan mataki ta ci bayan duk na baya sun yi asara: nasara ɗaya tana dawo da asarori biyu na ƙarshe ne kawai, ba fiye ba.

Iyakokin teburin roulette

Yaya zaman wasa yake kasancewa?

Ku ɗauki farko $10 da juyi takwas: A A N A A A N N (A = asara, N = nasara). Kuɗin caca suna tafiya 10, 10, 20 (nasara, koma baya biyu, zuwa mataki na 1), 10, 10, 20, 30 (nasara, koma baya biyu, zuwa mataki na 2), 10 (nasara, koma farko). An rasa: 10 + 10 + 10 + 10 + 20 = 60. An ci: 20 + 30 + 10 = 60. Asarori biyar, nasarori uku, kuma kun dawo daidai. Wannan shi ne abin da ke jan hankali a tsarin. Farashin yana kan layi ɗaya: an buƙaci cace-cace na $120 don a kai can, kuma kowace dala da aka saka tana ɗauke da fifikon gidan cacalissafiFifikon gidan cacaKason kowane kuɗin caca da gidan caca ke riƙewa a matsakaici: 2.70% a roulette na Turai.Karanta gaba ɗaya →.

Me ya sa ake komawa baya biyu, ba ɗaya ba?

Domin nasara ɗaya tana biyan asarori biyu daidai. Kowace lamba jimillar biyun da ke gabanta ce, don haka nasara a raka'a 5 tana dawo da 2 da 3 da aka rasa kafin ta. Ku yi tunanin matakala: mataki ɗaya sama ga kowace asara, matakai biyu ƙasa ga kowace nasara. Matakin da kuke tsaye a kai shi ne bashinku. A mataki na 5 kun yi asarar raka'a 7, a mataki na 8 kun yi asarar 33, kuma idan kun koma mataki na farko kun dawo daidai, babu riba babu asara. Riba tana zuwa ne kawai daga nasarori a mataki na farko, raka'a ɗaya a lokaci guda.

Idan yawan nasarori ya kusa daidai da na asarori, matakai biyu a madadin ɗaya yana kama da ciniki mai kyau, kuma a mafi yawan lokaci matakalar tana dawowa ƙasa. Matsalar ita ce matakan suna ƙara tsayi yayin da ake hawa. Nasarori goma a mataki na farko suna kawo raka'a 10. Asarori uku a matakai na 6, 7 da 8 suna kashe 8 + 13 + 21 = 42.

Zaman wasa goma na Fibonacci, farko $10, iyaka $500sakamako idan aka kwatanta da farko
+$1,180$0−$500+$930−$2500125250375500juye-juyesakamako
zaman wasa 1,000 × juyi 500 · shunayya p10/p25/p75/p90, shuɗi mai haske tsakiya, samfurori 82 marasa haske · ku matsa a kan jadawalin don ganin kashi-kashi a wani juyi
  • p10 −$500
  • p25 −$500
  • tsakiya −$500
  • p75 +$250
  • p90 +$920
zaman wasa 1,000 × juyi 500 · an yanke layin y zuwa kashi na 1–99 (iyakoki −$500 zuwa +$1,400) · juyi 500 · tushe $10 · 1 zuwa 1
Hawa mai sauƙi fiye da na Martingale, faɗuwa mai tsawo idan jerin ya yi nisa.

Shin tsarin Fibonacci yana aiki?

A'a. Ba a matsayin hanyar fita da riba ba. Lissafin iri ɗaya ne da na kowane tsari: kowace caca tana rasa 1/37 na kuɗin cacarta a matsakaici, don haka duka jerin yana rasa 1/37 na duk abin da aka saka. Amfani da jerin Fibonacci a roulette ba ya canja haka, domin dabaran yana biya a ma'auni iri ɗaya ko da yaya girman tsabar cacakuɗiTsabar cacaAlamar da ke wakiltar ƙayyadadden adadin kuɗi, wadda ake ajiyewa a kan teburin caca don yin caca. Ana kuma kiranta: check.Karanta gaba ɗaya → yake. Kuɗin cacar Fibonacci yana ƙaruwa a hankali, don haka yana saka kuɗi mafi yawa a kowane juyi fiye da caca da kuɗi iri ɗayadabaraCaca daidai-wa-daidaYin caca da adadi ɗaya a kowane juyi. Ma'auni ne da ake kwatanta kowane jerin ƙarin caca da shi.Karanta gaba ɗaya →, kuma asarar da ake tsammanilissafiAsarar da ake tsammaniƘimar da ake tsammani sau jimillar kuɗin da aka yi caca da su; matsakaicin adadin da ake rasawa a cikin zaman wasa ko wani lokaci.Karanta gaba ɗaya → a kowane zaman wasa ta fi yawa. MartingaledabaraMartingaleJerin ƙarin caca da ke ninka caca bayan kowace asara. Ku duba sashen “Dabarun caca na roulette” don ganin abin da yake yi da wanda ba ya yi.Karanta gaba ɗaya → yana saka fiye da haka, kuma yana ƙara rasawa.

Dabarar caca iri ɗaya a roulette

Shin ya fi Martingale aminci?

Ya fi jinkiri, kuma wannan ba abu ɗaya ba ne. Kuɗin cacar Fibonacci yana girma da kusan 1.6× a kowane mataki maimakon 2×, don haka ana kai iyakar $500 bayan kusan asarori goma a jere daga farko $10, ba shida ba. Hakan yana sa faɗuwar ta yi ƙaranci: asarori goma na cacar ɗaya zuwa ɗaya a jere (19/37)¹⁰ ≈ 0.13% ne, a kan (19/37)⁶ ≈ 1.8% na shida. Amma faɗuwar ma ta fi zurfi, domin an saka fiye a hanyar zuwa can, kuma nasara ɗaya ba ta gyara ta.

MartingaleFibonacci
ƙaruwar kuɗin caca a kowace asara×2×1.62
asarorin da ake buƙata don kaiwa $500 daga $10610
p(irin wannan yawan asarori a jere)1.8%0.13%
jimillar abin da aka rasa a iyaka$630$2,320 (matakai 1–11)
nasarorin da ake buƙata don farfaɗowa daga mataki na 713

Daga ina lambobin suka fito?

Daga wani wasan ƙwaƙwalwa game da zomaye. Leonardo na Pisa, wanda daga baya aka yi masa laƙabi da Fibonacci, ya gabatar da shi a littafinsa Liber Abaci na 1202: a fara da ma'auratan zomaye ɗaya, kowane ma'aurata su haifi sababbin ma'aurata kowane wata tun daga watansu na biyu, sannan a ƙirga ma'auratan. Amsar tana tafiya 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13. Ba shi ne na farko da ya gano ƙa'idar ba. Malaman Indiya masu nazarin karin waƙa sun rubuta ta tun da farko: Singh (1985) ya bi diddiginta zuwa Virahanka, tsakanin 600 da 800, sannan zuwa Gopala da Hemachandra.

Babu ɗayansu da ke tunanin dabaran roulette. Majiyoyin da aka yi amfani da su a nan ba su faɗi wanda ya fara saka kuɗi bisa jerin ba. Abin da suke nunawa shi ne cewa lissafinsa da lissafin roulette ba sa haɗuwa: ɗaya yana faɗin yadda kuɗin caca ke girma, ɗayan kuma yana faɗin abin da kowace caca ke dawowa da shi.

Leonardo na Pisa yana ƙirga ma'auratan zomaye yayin da kowane keji ke ƙara cika.

Nawa ake rasawa bayan jerin asarori?

Daidaito biyu na lissafi suna sauƙaƙa duba teburin da ke sama. Bayan asarori n a jere, jimillar abin da aka rasa ita ce lambar Fibonacci ta (n + 2) a rage 1, wadda ke ba da 1, 2, 4, 7, 12, 20 da sauransu, kuma kuɗin caca na gaba shi ne lambar Fibonacci ta (n + 1). Bollman (2021) ya tabbatar da sakamako iri ɗaya ta hanyar induction ga jerin da ke farawa 1, 2, 3, wanda ke matsar da kowace lamba wuri ɗaya. A iyakar raka'a 500 daga farko raka'a 1, Martingale ba zai iya sa caca ta 10 ba, raka'a 512. Fibonacci zai iya sa ta 14, raka'a 377, amma ba ta 15 ba, 610.

MartingaleFibonacci
caca mafi girma ƙasa da 500256 (caca ta 9)377 (caca ta 14)
asarori a jere da ke karya shi914
raka'o'in da aka rasa zuwa lokacin511986
dama a kan ja, daga wani juyi0.25%0.0089%
Farko raka'a 1, iyaka raka'a 500, dabaran roulette na Turai.

Me ke canjawa a kan dozin ko ginshiƙi?

A kan dozincacaDozin1–12, 13–24 ko 25–36, biya 2:1.Karanta gaba ɗaya → ko ginshiƙicacaGinshiƙiLambobi goma sha biyu a cikin ginshiƙi ɗaya a tsaye na teburin caca, biya 2:1.Karanta gaba ɗaya →, wanda ke biyan 2 zuwa 1, ba a buƙatar komawa baya. Nasara a kuɗin caca F tana biyan 2F, wanda koyaushe ya fi duk abin da aka rasa kafin ta, don haka kowace nasara tana ƙare jerin da riba. Farashin shi ne dozin yana cin sau 12 ne kawai cikin 37, don haka dogayen jerin asara sun fi yawa sosai: asarori goma sha huɗu na dozin a jere suna faruwa kusan sau ɗaya cikin ƙoƙari 242, a kan kusan sau ɗaya cikin 11,000 na jacacaJaCacar ɗaya zuwa ɗaya (even-money) a kan lambobi ja 18. A Faransanci: rouge.Karanta gaba ɗaya →.

cacaabin da aka rasa a bayakuɗin cacatsaf bayan nasara
101+2
211+1
322+2
443+2
575+3
6128+4
72013+6
83321+9
95434+14
108855+22

Me zai faru idan kun tsaya ne kawai bayan nasarori biyu a jere?

Wani nau'i yana matsawa mataki ɗaya gaba bayan kowane juyi, nasara ko asara, kuma yana tsayawa ne kawai bayan nasarori biyu a jere. Da asarori n kafin nasarorin biyu, ribar ita ce lambar Fibonacci ta (n + 1) a ƙara 1: ƙarama idan nasarorin sun zo da wuri, mafi girma idan sun zo a makare, kuma ana cin ta a kan kuɗin cacar da suka girma daidai da ita. Nasarori biyu da suka zo da wuri koyaushe suna zuwa a ƙananan kuɗin caca; waɗanda suka zo a makare na iya buƙatar babbar caca daidai a lokacin da zaman wasa ya fi lalacewa.

asarori kafin nasarorin biyukuɗin caca a nasarar ƙarsheriba
01+2
12+2
23+3
35+4
48+6
513+9
621+14
734+22
Jeri 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8… kamar yadda yake a wannan shafi.

Simulator (na'urar kwaikwayo) · Fibonacci

Zaman wasa 2,000 na cacar ɗaya zuwa ɗaya daga jarin caca na $1,000.

Cacar tushe $10 · iyakar teburi $500 · juyi 100 a kowane zaman wasa

Rarrabuwar sakamakon zaman wasaasara ← | → riba
−$1,000$0+$410
ku kai kibiya kan wani sanda · sanduna ja zaman wasa ne na asara, kore na nasara, sandan mai haske yana kan $0
zaman wasa da riba
73.6%
sakamakon tsakiya
+$150
matsakaicin sakamako
−$70.64
jari ya ƙare
17.8%
kashi na 5 (percentile)
−$1,000
tsakiyar mafi girman faɗuwa
−$330

Sau nawa jerin asara ke zuwa

Cacar ɗaya zuwa ɗaya a kan dabaran mai sifili ɗaya tana yin asara a juyi 19 cikin 37. Kowane layi yana nuna yiwuwar cewa wasu juye-juye a jere duk za su yi asara, da abin da ɗan wasan Fibonacci, wanda ke matsawa mataki ɗaya a cikin jerin bayan kowace asara, ya rasa zuwa lokacin.

Cacar tushe
asara a jereyiwuwakusan 1 cikinasara zuwa yanzucaca ta gaba
151.4%2$1$1
226.4%4$2$2
313.5%7$4$3
47.0%14$7$5
53.6%28$12$8
61.8%55$20$13
70.94%106$33$21
80.48%207$54$34
90.25%403$88$55
100.13%784$143$89
110.065%1527$232$144
120.034%2974$376$233
130.017%5792$609$377
140.0089%11279$986$610
150.0046%21965$1,596$987

Yiwuwar ita ce 19/37 da aka ninka da kanta sau ɗaya a kowace asara, ana ƙirgawa daga juyi ɗaya ƙayyadadde. Zaman wasa mai tsawo yana da juye-juye da yawa inda irin wannan jeri zai iya farawa, don haka a cikin yamma guda ya fi yiwuwa nesa ba kusa ba fiye da yadda layi ɗaya ke nunawa.

Tambayoyi

Shin akwai “Fibonacci a juye”?

Eh: gaba bayan nasara, baya bayan asara. Yana aiki kamar ParolidabaraParoliJerin ƙarin caca bayan nasara: a ninka bayan nasara, a koma farko bayan asara ko bayan nasarori uku a jere. Ana kuma kiransa: reverse Martingale.Karanta gaba ɗaya → mai jinkiri.

Nishaɗi da lissafi

Ku fara gwada waɗannan da kanku. Kowace mafita a naɗe take; ku buɗe ta idan kun shirya.

  1. Ku buga salon da yake matsa mataki ɗaya a jerin bayan kowane juyi, nasara ko asara, kuma yake tsayawa bayan nasarori biyu a jere: kuɗin caca 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8 da sauransu. Sakamako goma sha huɗu na farko su ne N A N A A A N A A A N A A N (N = nasara, A = asara). Ina kuke tsaye, kuma mece ce caca ta gaba?

    Nuna mafita

    Amsa Kun yi asarar raka'akuɗiRaka'aKuɗin caca na tushe da tsari ko ɗan wasa ke aiki da shi. Ana bayyana jerin ƙarin caca a raka'a don su yi aiki a kowane tebur.Karanta gaba ɗaya → 22. Caca ta gaba raka'a 610 ce, kuma nasara za ta ƙare zaman wasan da riba ta 588.

    Kuɗin cacar su ne lambobin FibonaccidabaraFibonacciJerin ƙarin caca da ke bin jerin lambobi 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13…: mataki ɗaya gaba bayan asara, matakai biyu baya bayan nasara.Karanta gaba ɗaya → goma sha huɗu na farko: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233 da 377. Ku ƙara nasarorin, ku cire asarorin: +1 −1 +2 −3 −5 −8 +13 −21 −34 −55 +89 −144 −233 +377 = −22.

    Sakamakon ƙarshe nasara ne, don haka ƙarin nasara ɗaya za ta ƙare shi. Kuɗin caca na gaba 610 ne: nasara tana barin +588, asara tana barin −632 da kuɗin caca na gaba na 987.

    Wannan salon koyaushe yana ƙarewa da riba, amma a nan yana buƙatar cacar raka'a 610 don yin hakan. Da dokokin da aka saba, mataki biyu baya bayan nasara, sakamako goma sha huɗun nan suna barin ku da asarar raka'a 1 kawai tare da caca ta gaba ta 2. Bollman (2021), wanda yake fara jerin da 1, 2, 3, yana samun asarar 1 da caca ta gaba ta 3. Dokokin da aka saba suna yin asara ƙasa a nan domin kowace nasara tana janye kuɗin cacar ƙasa.

    juyikuɗin cacasakamakojimilla zuwa yanzu
    11N+1
    21A0
    32N+2
    43A−1
    55A−6
    68A−14
    713N−1
    821A−22
    934A−56
    1055A−111
    1189N−22
    12144A−166
    13233A−399
    14377N−22
  2. A salon nan iri ɗaya, me ya sa asarori n da nasarori biyu suka biyo baya koyaushe suke barin riba ta lambar Fibonacci ta (n + 1) tare da ƙarin 1?

    Nuna mafita

    Amsa Asarorin n suna haɗuwa su zama lambar Fibonacci ta (n + 2) a cire 1, kuma nasarorin biyu su ne lambobi biyu na gaba, waɗanda tare suke wuce wancan da lamba ta (n + 1) tare da ƙarin 1.

    Ku rubuta F₁, F₂, F₃ … don 1, 1, 2, 3, 5 … Kowace lamba jimillar biyun da ke gabanta ce.

    Asarorin: F₁ + F₂ + … + Fₙ. Ku ƙara 1 a kan wannan jimilla, a rubuce a matsayin F₂, sai ta haɗe: F₂ + F₁ = F₃, sannan F₃ + F₂ = F₄, da sauransu, har sai jimillar gaba ɗaya ta zama Fₙ₊₂. Don haka jimillar asarorin ita ce Fₙ₊₂ − 1.

    Nasarorin su ne kuɗin caca biyu na gaba, Fₙ₊₁ da Fₙ₊₂. Riba: Fₙ₊₁ + Fₙ₊₂ − (Fₙ₊₂ − 1) = Fₙ₊₁ + 1. Da asarori huɗu, wannan shi ne F₅ + 1 = raka'a 6.

Ɗan barkwanci

Rabo na zinariya ya haɗu da allon “caca mafi girma”.

Rabo na zinariya ya haɗu da allon “caca mafi girma”.

Majiyoyi

  1. RouletteDoc. Strategy description and examples. https://roulettedoc.com/strategy/fibonacci
  2. Roulette77. Strategy description and examples. https://roulette77.us/strategies/fibonacci
  3. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Babi na 13, roulette.
  4. Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed. Academic Press, 2013.
  5. Bollman, M. Mathematics of the Big Four Casino Table Games: Blackjack, Baccarat, Craps, & Roulette. CRC Press, 2021. Babi na 2, roulette.
  6. Sigler, L. E. Fibonacci’s Liber Abaci: A Translation into Modern English of Leonardo Pisano’s Book of Calculation. Springer, 2002. Babi na 12, wasan ƙwaƙwalwa na zomaye.
  7. Singh, P. The so-called Fibonacci numbers in ancient and medieval India. Historia Mathematica 12 (3), 1985, shafuffuka 229–244.
an duba 2026-09-28samfuri: na Turai, sifili ɗayahanyar aiki ↗majiyoyi ↗