Za a iya cin roulette? Yadda ake nasara a roulette
Yaya ake cin nasara a roulette? Ba da tsarin caca ba. Mai yiwuwa, a tarihi, da dabaran roulette mai lahani ko croupier da za a iya hasashen aikinsa, kuma sai da ƙoƙari mai yawan gaske.
Tsare-tsaren caca ba za su iya doke roulette ba: ƙimomin da ake tsammanilissafiƘimar da ake tsammaniMatsakaicin sakamako a kowace caca a cikin dogon lokaci. −1/37 na kuɗin caca a kowace cacar Turai ta yau da kullum.Karanta gaba ɗaya → suna haɗuwa kuma kowace caca tana ƙasa da sifili. Nasarorin da aka rubuta kaɗai sun zo ne daga amfani da kimiyyar motsi, ba daga tsarin sakamako ba.
Dalilin da ya sa tsare-tsare ke kasawa
Kowace caca tana da EV = −1/37 na kuɗin cacarta. Duk wani jerin cace-cace, ko da yaya aka zaɓe shi daga sakamakon baya, yana da EV = −1/37 na jimillar abin da aka saka. Wannan ƙa'idar lissafi ce game da jimillar abubuwan da ke faruwa ta kwatsam, ba lura ba ce da wani tsari mafi kyau zai iya karyatawa. Joseph Doob da Paul Halmos sun tabbatar da ita a shekarun 1930, kuma Edward Thorp, wanda ya doke blackjack ta hanyar ƙirga katuna, ya bayyana sharuɗɗan da take buƙata: kowace caca ƙasa da sifili, juye-juye masu zaman kansulissafiJuye-juye masu zaman kansuKowane juyi yana da yiwuwa iri ɗaya komai abin da ya faru a baya. Tushen kowane lissafi a wannan shafin.Karanta gaba ɗaya →, iyakar teburi ta sama da ta ƙasa. Littafinsa na koyarwa na 1966 yana ba da hujja mai sauƙi.
Iyakokin teburin rouletteJuye-juyen roulette masu zaman kansu
Abin da ya taɓa aiki
Abubuwa uku, dukansu sun shafi dabaran roulette na zahiri. Karkata: dabaran da ramukansakayan aikiRamiƊaya daga cikin ɗakuna 37 masu lamba a kan rotor. Ana kuma kiransa: slot, cup.Karanta gaba ɗaya → ba su da yiwuwa daidai, wanda ake gano shi ta hanyar rubuta dubban juye-juye. Hasashe: auna lokacin ƙwallokayan aikiƘwalloƘaramin ƙwallon da ake jefawa a hanyarsa a akasin juyawar rotor. Ƙwallayen zamani na ivorine ko Teflon ne, 18–21 mm.Karanta gaba ɗaya → da rotorkayan aikiRotorƁangaren dabaran da ke juyawa wanda ke ɗauke da ramuka.Karanta gaba ɗaya → (ɓangaren dabaran da ke juyawa) don kimanta sashendabaranSasheRamuka da ke bin juna a jere a kan dabaran kamar baka, sabanin ƙungiyar lambobi a kan teburin caca.Karanta gaba ɗaya → da ƙwallon zai faɗa, wanda aka yi da kwamfutoci ɓoyayyu tun daga shekarun 1970. Alamar croupier: hasashen cewa yadda croupier ke sakin ƙwallo yana da daidaito har za a iya hasashen faɗuwarsa, wanda ba a taɓa nuna shi da gamsarwa ba. Duka ukun suna buƙatar dabaran na zahiri, dogon lura da gidan caca da bai lura ba.
Joseph Jagger ya sa aka rubuta sakamakon dabaran roulette a Monte Carlo, ya gano lambobin da ke fitowa fiye da kima, kuma ya ci kuɗi mai yawa har gidan caca ya canja wuraren dabaran sannan ya maye gurbinsu.
Charles Wells ya “karya banki” da sa'a ta ban mamaki da wani tsari da bai taɓa bayyanawa ba. Ya dawo a lokacin sanyin wannan shekarar kuma ya sake rasa wani ɓangare na abin da ya ci.
Edward Thorp da Claude Shannon sun gina kwamfuta ta farko da ake sawa a jiki don auna lokacin ƙwallon roulette. Na'urar tana aiki lokaci-lokaci; an yi watsi da aikin.
Eudaemons daga Santa Cruz sun yi amfani da kwamfutoci ɓoyayyu a gidajen caca na Nevada. Fifiko na gaske, na'urorin lantarki marasa tabbas, babu dukiya.
Gonzalo García-Pelayo da iyalinsa sun rubuta kusan juye-juye 5,000 a kowane dabaran kusa da Madrid, sun gano dabaran da suka karkata, sun ci nasara, an hana su shiga, kuma kotu ta soke haramcin.
ʼYan wasa uku sun ci £1.3 miliyan a Ritz da ke London ta hanyar hasashen faɗuwar ƙwallo. An ba da rahoton laser amma ba a taɓa nuna akwai shi ba; sun riƙe kuɗin da suka ci.
Small da Tse sun wallafa maƙalar kimiyyar motsi da ke nuna cewa ana iya samun fifiko na ʼyan kashi kaɗan ta auna lokaci a yanayin ɗakin gwaji.
Dalilin da ya sa ba ya aiki yanzu
Gidajen caca suna juya kawunan dabarankayan aikiKan dabaran (wheel head)Wata kalma ce ga rotor: ɓangaren da ke juyawa mai ɗauke da lambobi.Karanta gaba ɗaya → tsakanin kwanonikayan aikiKwanon dabaran (bowl)Ɓangaren waje na dabaran da ba ya motsi: gefen katako ko haɗaɗɗen abu da ke riƙe da hanyar ƙwallo da apron, wanda rotor ke juyawa a cikinsa.Karanta gaba ɗaya →, suna daidaita kwanonin, suna auna ramuka kuma suna maye gurbin fretskayan aikiFretRabe-raben ƙarfe da ke tsakanin ramuka biyu a kan dabaran.Karanta gaba ɗaya → (shingayen da ke tsakanin ramuka) bisa jadawali, wanda ke kawar da karkata. Ɗakunan watsa shirye-shirye kai tsaye suna rufe caca kafin ƙwallon ya rage gudu kuma suna gyara jinkirin watsawa, wanda ke kawar da auna lokaci. Yawancin hukumomi sun mayar da na'urorin hasashe laifi. Ana umartar croupier su canja yadda suke sakin ƙwallo. Amsar gaskiya ga dabaran roulette na zamani da ake kula da shi a gidan caca ko ɗakin watsa shirye-shirye mai lasisi ita ce a'a.
Yadda ake doke roulette, a ƙa'ida kawai: abin da zai buƙata
A ce wani rami yana fitowa sau 1 cikin 33 maimakon 1 cikin 37. Cacar straight upcacaStraight upLamba ɗaya tak, biya 35:1.Karanta gaba ɗaya → (cacar lamba ɗaya) a kansa tana da EV = 35/33 − 32/33 = +3/33 ≈ +9%. Don sanin cewa ramin ya karkata ne ba sa'a kawai ba, kuna buƙatar kusan juye-juye 10,000 da aka rubuta daga wannan dabaran na musamman; don amfani da shi kuna buƙatar dabaran ya kasance ba a canja shi ba yayin da kuke saka a kansa. Shafukan Ɗakin gwajin roulette suna bayanin ƙididdigar; shafukan tarihi suna bayanin abin da ya faru da mutanen da suka yi hakan.
Amsar gaskiya
Ga mai karatu da ke da tsari: ba zai yi aiki ba, kuma za ku iya tabbatar da haka da simulator na wannan shafin yanar gizo cikin rana ɗaya. Ga mai karatu da ke da littafin rubutu da haƙuri: karkata tana yiwuwa a ƙa'ida kuma ana kawar da ita a aikace. Ga kowa: roulette sayayya ce. Ku biya farashin da kuka gamsu da shi, a saurin da kuka zaɓa, a kan dabaran mai sifilidabaranSifiliRamin kore guda ɗaya da babu cacar ɗaya zuwa ɗaya, ta dozin ko ta ginshiƙi da ke rufe shi; tushen fifikon gidan caca. Ana kuma kiransa: sifili ɗaya, 0.Karanta gaba ɗaya → ɗaya da la partageƙa'idaLa partageƘa'idar Faransa: idan sifili ya fito, ana mayar da rabin kuɗin cacar ɗaya zuwa ɗaya (even-money). Tana rage fifikon gidan caca a kan waɗannan cace-cace da rabi, zuwa 1.35%.Karanta gaba ɗaya → idan kun samu.
Tambayoyi
A'a. Shahararrun “masu nasara” da tsari kamar Charles Wells sun ci da sa'a kuma sun sake rasa wani ɓangare na abin da suka ci.
A ƙa'ida. A gidan caca ko ɗakin watsa shirye-shirye na zamani za a gano ta kuma a gyara ta kafin ku sami isassun bayanai don amfani da ita.
Ba a yawancin hukumomi ba, kuma ba za a iya amfani da su a kan teburan kai tsaye da ke rufe caca kafin ƙwallon ya rage gudu ba.
Ɗan barkwanci
Kimiyyar motsi, ba tsarin sakamako ba. Kuma yanzu ma ba ya aiki.
Majiyoyi
- RouletteDoc. Roulette strategies overview.
- Roulette77. Roulette strategies overview.
- Thorp, E. O. “Optimal gambling systems for favorable games.”
- Thorp, E. O. Elementary Probability.
- Doob, J. L. “Note on probability.”
- Halmos, P. R. “Invariants of certain stochastic transformations: the mathematical theory of gambling systems.”
- Bass, T. A. The Eudaemonic Pie.
- Small, M. & Tse, C. K. “Predicting the outcome of roulette.”
- Barnhart, R. T. Beating the Wheel.
- Chellel, K. “The Gambler Who Beat Roulette.”