Gano kuskuren tunani
Gajerun maganganu daga teburin caca. Ku faɗi kuskuren tunanin da ke aiki: kuskuren ɗan caca, hannu mai zafi, ruɗin iko, bin asara ko zaɓaɓɓen tunawa.
Maganganu goma daga tarin goma sha biyar, kurakuran tunani biyar, amsa ɗaya daidai ga kowace. Kowace ɗaya daga cikinsu an faɗe ta a teburin roulette a daren nan.
Kurakuran tunani biyar
Kuskuren ɗan caca: wani sakamako “lokacinsa ya yi” domin bai fito ba. Hannu mai zafitatsuniyaHannu mai zafiImanin cewa jerin nasarori, ko na sakamako ɗaya, yana sa a fi yiwuwar sake samun irinsa. A kan dabaran, kuskuren ɗan caca ne aka juya shi.Karanta gaba ɗaya →: jerin sakamako iri ɗaya zai ci gaba. Ruɗin iko: wani abu da kuke yi yana canza sakamakon. Bin asara: asarar da ta wuce ta sa caca ta gaba ta zama dole. Zaɓaɓɓen tunawa: ana tuna nasarori amma ba a tuna rashin nasara. Suna cakuɗuwa a maganar yau da kullum, don haka an rubuta kowace magana a jarrabawar ta yadda za ta sami amsa ɗaya bayyananna.
Maki
10: za ku iya kula da harabar teburan caca.
8–9: za ku ji waɗannan duk maraice kuma ku yi murmushi.
5–7: kun san kuskuren ɗan caca; sashen Tatsuniyoyi ya ƙunshi sauran.
Ƙasa da 5: ku karanta “Me ya sa roulette ke saurin zama jaraba?” Shafin yana ɗauke da duk jerin, tare da kimiyyar da ke bayansu.
Tambayoyi
A roulette, a'a. A wasu wasannin motsa jiki na gwaninta shaidar ba ta bayyana sarai ba. Dabaran ba shi da gwanintar da zai “yi zafi”.
Bin asara, da nisa. Sauran suna canza wace caca kuke yi; bin asara yana canza yawan kuɗin.
Ɗan barkwanci
Kurakuran tunani biyar. Tattabara ɗaya.
Majiyoyi
- Tversky, A. and Kahneman, D. “Judgment under uncertainty: heuristics and biases.”
- Langer, E. “The illusion of control.”