Kayan aiki · Na'urar lissafi

Na'urar lissafin haɗarin ƙarewar jari

Yiwuwar kai wa ga burin riba kafin a rasa jarin caca, ana caca mai ƙayyadadden adadi a kan cacar ɗaya zuwa ɗaya.

Jarin caca
Caca
Buri
kai wa ga buri
24.6%
ƙarewar jari da farko
75.4%
buri
+$250
raka'a (a / b)
50 / 25
juye-juyen da ake tsammani kafin ƙarshe
1,168
EV na ƙoƙarin
−$315.70
Yadda za a karanta sakamakon

Idan kuna caca da $10 a kowane lokaci, kuna da yiwuwar 24.6% ta mayar da $500 zuwa $750 kafin jarinku ya ƙare. Manyan cace-cace suna ƙara wannan yiwuwar saboda ƙarancin juye-juye yana nufin ƙarancin biyan harajin 2.70%; amma kuma suna sa tafiyar ta fi hargitsi. Ku gwada cace-cacen $100 da cace-cacen $5 don ganin tasirin.

Hanya da zato
Ƙarewar jarin ɗan caca tare da p = 18/37: P(buri) = (1 − (q/p)ᵃ)/(1 − (q/p)ᵃ⁺ᵇ), a = jarin caca/caca, b = buri/caca. Tsawon lokacin da ake tsammani a/(q−p) − (a+b)·P/(q−p). Cace-cacen ɗaya zuwa ɗaya masu ƙayyadadden adadi kawai.