Dabarun caca na roulette · Na aiki · minti 7

Iyakar asara / iyakar riba

Ƙa'idar tsayawa ita ce sashe ɗaya tilo na “tsari” da ke da tasiri na gaske, domin tana canja yawan abin da kuke sakawa.

Amsa a taƙaice

Tsayawa da wuri yana rage jimillar abin da aka saka don haka yana rage asarar da ake tsammani. Ba ya samar da fifiko; iyakar riba ba ta “kulle” wani abu da juyi na gaba ba zai iya bayarwa ko ɗauka ba.

tasiri a kan EV / $
babu
tasiri a kan jimillar abin da aka saka
mai yawa
tasiri a kan bambancin sakamako
mai yawa
wa ke yanke shawara
ku, tun da wuri

Iyakar asara

Ku ƙayyade adadin da kuke shirye ku rasa kuma ku tashi idan ya ƙare. Yana iyakance mafi munin hali, yana ƙare zaman wasa kafin bin asara ya fara, kuma yana sa farashin da ake tsammani na daren ya zama abin da za a iya lissafawa: ba ya taɓa wuce iyakar asaradabaraIyakar asaraAdadin asara da aka tsayar tun farko wanda idan aka kai shi ake ƙare zaman wasa.Karanta gaba ɗaya →, galibi ƙasa da ita. Cikin dukan ƙa'idojin wannan shafin yanar gizo, ita ce wadda ta fi tabbas wajen canja abin da ke faruwa ga ɗan wasa, domin ita kaɗai ce ke ƙare zaman wasa da tabbas.

Iyakar riba

Ku ƙayyade buri kuma ku tashi idan kun kai shi. Yana sa zaman wasa masu riba su yawaita kuma su ƙanƙanta. A kan zaman wasa da yawa matsakaicin sakamako har yanzu −2.70% ne na jimillar cacakuɗiJimillar cacaJimillar kuɗin da aka yi caca da su a cikin zaman wasa ko wani lokaci, har da kuɗin da aka ci aka sake sawa. Ana kuma kiranta: handle, action.Karanta gaba ɗaya →; kun canja lokacin da asarori ke zuwa ne, ba ku cire su ba. Kalmar “kulle riba” tana bayanin wani ji ne. Juyi na gaba koyaushe zai kasance 18/37 ko kun buga shi a daren yau ko mako mai zuwa.

$10 a kan ja, kasafin $500, juyi 100 a mafi yawababu tsayawaiyakar asara $100iyakar riba $100duka biyun
zaman wasa masu ƙarewa da riba≈ 42%≈ 42%≈ 53%≈ 50%
matsakaicin sakamako−$27−$22−$20−$16
kashi 5% mafi muni na zaman wasa−$190−$100−$190−$100
kashi 5% mafi kyau na zaman wasa+$140+$140+$100+$100
matsakaicin juye-juyen da aka buga100≈ 85≈ 75≈ 60
An kwaikwaya. Tsayawa tana rage matsakaicin asara ne kawai ta hanyar rage juye-juye. Asara a kowane juyi ba ta canja ba.

Tsohuwar jayayya

An daɗe ana jayayya ko daina wasa yayin da ake riba yana taimakawa. Masanin ilimin mantiƙi John Venn ya ɗauka cewa ɗan wasan da shi kaɗai ke iya zaɓar lokacin tsayawa yana da fifiko, matuƙar bashi ba shi da iyaka. Lord Rayleigh ya amsa cewa idan dukiya tana da iyaka a ɓangarorin biyu fifikon yana ɓacewa, kuma ƙa'idodin lissafi na zamani sun yarda: babu ƙa'idar lokacin tsayawa da ke canja matsakaicin sakamako a kan kowace raka'akuɗiRaka'aKuɗin caca na tushe da tsari ko ɗan wasa ke aiki da shi. Ana bayyana jerin ƙarin caca a raka'a don su yi aiki a kowane tebur.Karanta gaba ɗaya → da aka saka (Epstein, 2013). Faransanci yana da kalma don barin teburi yayin da ake riba, faire Charlemagne. Tana bayyana ɗabi'a ne, ba fifiko ba.

John Venn ya ɗauka cewa ɗan wasan da ke zaɓar lokacin tsayawa yana da fifiko; Lord Rayleigh ya amsa cewa idan dukiya tana da iyaka fifikon yana ɓacewa.

Dalilin da ya sa matsakaicin sakamako ke inganta

Ba domin tsayawa tana samun lokaci mai kyau na tashi ba. Sai domin zaman wasa da ya ƙare bayan juyi 60 ya saka kuɗin caca 60 maimakon 100 kuma ya biya 2.70% a kan daloli kaɗan. Duk wata ƙa'ida da ke rage jimillar caca tana rage asarar da ake tsammanilissafiAsarar da ake tsammaniƘimar da ake tsammani sau jimillar kuɗin da aka yi caca da su; matsakaicin adadin da ake rasawa a cikin zaman wasa ko wani lokaci.Karanta gaba ɗaya → daidai gwargwado: iyakar asara, iyakar ribadabaraIyakar ribaBurin riba da aka tsayar tun farko wanda idan aka kai shi ake ƙare zaman wasa.Karanta gaba ɗaya →, iyakar lokaci, yawan juye-juye ko kawai ƙaramin kuɗin caca.

Zaɓar lambobin

Iyakar asara ta 20–40% na kasafin zaman wasa tana sa mummunan dare ya zama mai jurewa ba tare da ta yi tsauri har bambancin sakamakolissafiBambancin sakamakoMa'aunin yadda sakamako ke yaɗuwa a kewayen ƙimar da ake tsammani. Yana da girma ga straight up, ƙanƙanta ga cace-cacen ɗaya zuwa ɗaya.Karanta gaba ɗaya → na yau da kullum ya kunna ta a yawancin darare ba. Iyakar riba ta 20–50% na kasafi ana iya kaiwa a zaman wasa na yau da kullum (cacar ɗaya zuwa ɗaya tana kai +$100 daga $500 a wani lokaci a kusan rabin zaman wasa na juyi 100) ba tare da ta yi sauƙi fiye da kima ba. Lambobin sun dogara da kowane mutum; amma horon rubuta su ya shafi kowa.

Zaman wasa goma na $10; da iyakar asara ta $100 ta ƙare waɗanda ke faɗuwa da wurisakamako idan aka kwatanta da farko
+$420$0−$500+$140−$2500125250375500juye-juyesakamako
zaman wasa 1,000 × juyi 500 · shunayya p10/p25/p75/p90, shuɗi mai haske tsakiya, samfurori 83 marasa haske · ku matsa a kan jadawalin don ganin kashi-kashi a wani juyi
  • p10 −$460
  • p25 −$300
  • tsakiya −$140
  • p75 +$0
  • p90 +$140
zaman wasa 1,000 × juyi 500 · an yanke layin y zuwa kashi na 1–99 (iyakoki −$500 zuwa +$640) · juyi 500 · tushe $10 · 1 zuwa 1

Ƙa'idar da ke kan ƙa'idoji

Ƙa'idar tsayawa tana aiki ne kawai idan an yanke ta kafin zaman wasa kuma ba a canja ta a tsakiyarsa ba. “Juyi ɗaya kawai don in dawo daidai” ita ce iyakar asara da mutumin da aka ƙirƙira ta don kare shi ke sake tattaunawa a kanta. Idan kun ga hakan na faruwa, ku rage kuɗin caca maimakon ku ɗaga iyakar.

Tambayoyi

Shin iyakar riba tana doke gidan caca?

A'a. Tana sa ƙananan nasarori su yawaita kuma tana barin matsakaicin dogon lokaci a −2.70% na abin da kuka saka.

Shin iyakar lokaci tana da kyau kamar iyakar asara?

Tana rage jimillar caca ta hanya ɗaya kuma ta fi sauƙin kiyayewa. Ku yi amfani da duka biyun.

Me zai faru idan na kai iyakar riba da wuri?

Ku tashi. Wannan ita ce ƙa'idar. Juye-juyen da ba ku buga ba ba su ci komai ba.

Ɗan barkwanci

Tsayawa tana rage jimillar caca. Abin da take yi ke nan kawai, kuma ya isa.

Tsayawa tana rage jimillar caca. Abin da take yi ke nan kawai, kuma ya isa.

Majiyoyi

  1. RouletteDoc. Roulette strategies overview. https://roulettedoc.com/strategy
  2. Roulette77. Roulette strategies overview. https://roulette77.us/strategies
  3. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Babi na 13, roulette.
  4. Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed. Academic Press, 2013.
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