Dabarar Labouchère a roulette
Dabarar roulette ta Labouchère tana aiki da layin lambobi. Ku saka jimillar lambobin ƙarshe biyu. Ku goge su bayan nasara, ku ƙara cacar da aka rasa bayan asara.
Ba ta doke dabaran roulette ba. Kammala layin yana cin jimillarsa. Layin yana ƙaruwa a lokutan asara, kuɗin caca ma tare da shi. Asarar da ake tsammani: 2.70% na duk abin da aka saka.
Ku bi tsarin mataki-mataki
Kuɗin caca shi ne lamba ta farko da ta ƙarshe a haɗe. Nasara tana goge su duka biyu. Asara tana rubuta kuɗin cacar a ƙarshen layi.
Kuɗin caca da sakamako suna cikin raka'o'in cacar tushe.
Yadda tsarin roulette na Labouchère ke aiki a kan takarda
Ku yanke shawarar nawa kuke son ci, misali raka'akuɗiRaka'aKuɗin caca na tushe da tsari ko ɗan wasa ke aiki da shi. Ana bayyana jerin ƙarin caca a raka'a don su yi aiki a kowane tebur.Karanta gaba ɗaya → 10, kuma ku rubuta shi a matsayin layin lambobi da jimillarsu ta kai haka: 1 2 3 4. Kowace caca ita ce lambar farko da ta ƙarshe: 1 + 4 = 5. Idan kun ci, ku goge ƙarshen biyu; layin yanzu 2 3 ne. Idan kun yi asara, ku rubuta kuɗin cacar a ƙarshe: 1 2 3 4 5. Ku ci gaba har layin ya ƙare, wato kun ci raka'a 10, ko har ba za ku iya biyan caca ta gaba ba. Yana aiki kamar jerin ayyuka inda kowane aiki da aka gama yana cire abubuwa biyu, kowane aiki da bai yi nasara ba kuma yana ƙara wani babba a ƙasa.
Me ya sa layin ke yawan ƙarewa?
Kowace nasara tana cire lambobi biyu; kowace asara tana ƙara ɗaya. Layin yana raguwa duk lokacin da yawan nasarori ya fi rabin yawan asarori, kuma a cacar ɗaya zuwa ɗaya (48.6%) galibi haka yake. Yawancin layuka suna ƙarewa. Wannan shi ne abin da ke jan hankali kuma shi ne tarkon: zaman wasan da layin bai ƙare ba su ne waɗanda asarori suka ninka nasarori sau biyu na ɗan lokaci, kuma zuwa lokacin lambobin da ke kan layin, da kuɗin caca, sun yi girma sosai.
- p10 −$500
- p25 −$500
- tsakiya −$500
- p75 −$500
- p90 +$1,570
Shin tsarin Labouchère yana aiki?
A'a. Yawancin layuka suna ƙarewa, kuma waɗanda ba sa ƙarewa suna jawo asara fiye da ribar da waɗanda suka ƙare suka kawo. Daga 1 2 3 4, jerin asarori takwas yana haifar da layin 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 da caca ta gaba ta raka'a 13, tare da raka'a 68 da aka riga aka rasa. Idan raka'a $10 ce, wannan caca ce ta $130 da asarar $680. Asarori takwas na cacar ɗaya zuwa ɗaya a jere suna da yiwuwarlissafiYiwuwaDamar faruwar wani sakamako, daga 0 zuwa 1 ko daga 0% zuwa 100%. Lamba ɗaya: 1/37 = 2.70%.Karanta gaba ɗaya → (19/37)⁸ ≈ 0.5% daga kowane wurin farawa, kuma zaman wasa na juyi 200 yana da wuraren farawa da yawa. Ba kamar MartingaledabaraMartingaleJerin ƙarin caca da ke ninka caca bayan kowace asara. Ku duba sashen “Dabarun caca na roulette” don ganin abin da yake yi da wanda ba ya yi.Karanta gaba ɗaya → ba, nasara ɗaya ba ta gyara shi; kuna buƙatar layin ya ƙare, wanda ke buƙatar nasarori da dama fiye da asarori.
Kuɗi nawa ne gajeren layi ke buƙata a bayansa?
Mafi gajeren layin da aka saba, 1 2 3, yana cin raka'a 6. Mun kwaikwayi irin waɗannan layuka miliyan biyu a kan jacacaJaCacar ɗaya zuwa ɗaya (even-money) a kan lambobi ja 18. A Faransanci: rouge.Karanta gaba ɗaya → a dabaran roulette na Turai ba tare da iyakar teburi ba, kuma mun rubuta mafi yawan kuɗin da kowane layi ya taɓa buƙata: asarori zuwa lokacin da caca ta gaba. Rabin layukan ba su taɓa buƙatar fiye da raka'a 9 ba. Ɗaya cikin goma ya buƙaci fiye da 79, ɗaya cikin hamsin kuma fiye da 490, kuma don gama layuka 99 cikin 100 ɗan wasa yana buƙatar kusan raka'a 1,050 a bayan burin raka'a 6. Ko da babu sifilidabaranSifiliRamin kore guda ɗaya da babu cacar ɗaya zuwa ɗaya, ta dozin ko ta ginshiƙi da ke rufe shi; tushen fifikon gidan caca. Ana kuma kiransa: sifili ɗaya, 0.Karanta gaba ɗaya →, a wasa mai adalcilissafiWasa mai adalciWasan da babu ɓangaren da ke da fifiko: kowace caca tana da ƙimar da ake tsammani ta sifili.Karanta gaba ɗaya →, zai buƙaci kusan 700. Idan abin da ke bayansa ya yi ƙasa, wani lokaci ana rasa layin, kuma layi ɗaya da aka rasa yana jawo asara fiye da ribar layuka da yawa da aka gama.
Akwai wasu nau'o'i?
LabouchèredabaraLabouchèreTsarin sharewa: a rubuta layin lambobi, a yi caca da jimillar lambobi biyu na ƙarshe, a share su bayan nasara, a ƙara kuɗin cacar da aka rasa bayan asara.Karanta gaba ɗaya → a juye yana ƙarawa bayan nasara kuma yana gogewa bayan asara, wanda ke mayar da shi jerin ƙarin cacadabaraJerin ƙarin cacaDuk wata ƙa'ida da ke canza kuɗin caca bisa sakamakon da ya gabata. Jerin ƙarin caca bayan asara yana ɗaga shi bayan an rasa, na bayan nasara kuma bayan an ci.Karanta gaba ɗaya → bayan nasara mai tsayawa a cikinsa. Raba dogon layi zuwa gajeru biyu (“1 2 3 4 5 6” zuwa “1 2 3” da “4 5 6”) yana rage kuɗin caca kuma yana ninka yawan layukan da za a gama. Farawa da lamba ɗaya kawai caca da kuɗi iri ɗayadabaraCaca daidai-wa-daidaYin caca da adadi ɗaya a kowane juyi. Ma'auni ne da ake kwatanta kowane jerin ƙarin caca da shi.Karanta gaba ɗaya → ce tare da buri.
Shin Labouchère a juye ya doke gidan caca a Nice?
A nau'in da aka juya, nasara tana ƙara kuɗin caca a ƙarshen layi, asara kuma tana goge ƙarshen biyu. Layin da ya ƙare ya jawo asarar jimillarsa, raka'a 10 ga 1 2 3 4; layin da ke ci gaba da cin nasara yana ƙara cace-cacensa har caca ta gaba za ta wuce iyakar teburi, sannan ɗan wasa ya ajiye ribar ya sake farawa. Labouchère ne da aka juya ciki zuwa waje: ƙananan layuka masu asara da yawa da babbar nasara jefi-jefi. Littafin Norman Leigh mai suna Thirteen Against the Bank (1976) ya ba da labarin yadda ƙungiyarsa ta yi amfani da shi a kan duk cace-cacen ɗaya zuwa ɗaya guda shida a Nice a 1966, kuma wani labari na baya ya yi iƙirarin cewa zaman gwaji 96 cikin 100 sun ci nasara (Goldman, 2007). Gaskiya akasin haka ne. A kwaikwayonmu yawancin zaman wasa suna asara, wasu kaɗan kuma suna samun babbar nasara, kuma yayin da iyakar ke ƙaruwa, nasarorin suna ƙara ƙaranci kuma suna ƙara girma. Farashin 1.35% iri ɗaya ne na jimillar cacakuɗiJimillar cacaJimillar kuɗin da aka yi caca da su a cikin zaman wasa ko wani lokaci, har da kuɗin da aka ci aka sake sawa. Ana kuma kiranta: handle, action.Karanta gaba ɗaya → tare da la partageƙa'idaLa partageƘa'idar Faransa: idan sifili ya fito, ana mayar da rabin kuɗin cacar ɗaya zuwa ɗaya (even-money). Tana rage fifikon gidan caca a kan waɗannan cace-cace da rabi, zuwa 1.35%.Karanta gaba ɗaya → ko mece ce iyakar.
Wane ne Labouchère?
Henry Labouchère (1831–1912), ɗan jarida, mai gidan wasan kwaikwayo kuma ɗan majalisa na jam'iyyar Liberal, ya yaɗa tsarin a cikin manyan mutanen London kuma an ce ya yi amfani da shi a Monte Carlo. Hanyar gogewa ta riga shi. Ba a taɓa nuna cewa tana canja asarar da ake tsammanilissafiAsarar da ake tsammaniƘimar da ake tsammani sau jimillar kuɗin da aka yi caca da su; matsakaicin adadin da ake rasawa a cikin zaman wasa ko wani lokaci.Karanta gaba ɗaya → ba, wadda ita ce jimillar kuɗin caca a raba da 37.
Simulator (na'urar kwaikwayo) · Labouchère
Zaman wasa 2,000 na cacar ɗaya zuwa ɗaya daga jarin caca na $1,000.
Cacar tushe $10 · iyakar teburi $500 · juyi 100 a kowane zaman wasa
Sau nawa jerin asara ke zuwa
Cacar ɗaya zuwa ɗaya a kan dabaran mai sifili ɗaya tana yin asara a juyi 19 cikin 37. Kowane layi yana nuna yiwuwar cewa wasu juye-juye a jere duk za su yi asara, da abin da ɗan wasan Labouchère, wanda ke farawa da layin 1 2 3 4 kuma yana rubuta kowane kuɗin cacar da ya rasa a ƙarshensa, ya rasa zuwa lokacin.
| asara a jere | yiwuwa | kusan 1 cikin | asara zuwa yanzu | caca ta gaba |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 51.4% | 2 | $5 | $6 |
| 2 | 26.4% | 4 | $11 | $7 |
| 3 | 13.5% | 7 | $18 | $8 |
| 4 | 7.0% | 14 | $26 | $9 |
| 5 | 3.6% | 28 | $35 | $10 |
| 6 | 1.8% | 55 | $45 | $11 |
| 7 | 0.94% | 106 | $56 | $12 |
| 8 | 0.48% | 207 | $68 | $13 |
| 9 | 0.25% | 403 | $81 | $14 |
| 10 | 0.13% | 784 | $95 | $15 |
| 11 | 0.065% | 1527 | $110 | $16 |
| 12 | 0.034% | 2974 | $126 | $17 |
| 13 | 0.017% | 5792 | $143 | $18 |
| 14 | 0.0089% | 11279 | $161 | $19 |
| 15 | 0.0046% | 21965 | $180 | $20 |
Yiwuwar ita ce 19/37 da aka ninka da kanta sau ɗaya a kowace asara, ana ƙirgawa daga juyi ɗaya ƙayyadadde. Zaman wasa mai tsawo yana da juye-juye da yawa inda irin wannan jeri zai iya farawa, don haka a cikin yamma guda ya fi yiwuwa nesa ba kusa ba fiye da yadda layi ɗaya ke nunawa.
Tambayoyi
Kuɗin caca yana girma a hankali, don haka faɗuwar ba ta yawan faruwa kuma hawan ya fi tsawo. Asarar da ake tsammani a kan kowace raka'a da aka saka iri ɗaya ce.
Gajere mai ƙananan lambobi. Yana iyakance kuɗin caca da lokacin gama shi; ba ya canja fifikon gidan caca.
Eh. Sakamakonku kawai jimillar ce a wannan lokacin.
Nishaɗi da lissafi
Ku fara gwada waɗannan da kanku. Kowace mafita a naɗe take; ku buɗe ta idan kun shirya.
Ku fara tsarin LabouchèredabaraLabouchèreTsarin sharewa: a rubuta layin lambobi, a yi caca da jimillar lambobi biyu na ƙarshe, a share su bayan nasara, a ƙara kuɗin cacar da aka rasa bayan asara.Karanta gaba ɗaya → na yau da kullum da 1 2 3 4 5, burin 15, sannan ku rasa cace-cace huɗu na farko. Mene ne layin, nawa kuka yi asara, kuma mece ce caca ta gaba?
Nuna mafita
Amsa Layin shi ne 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9, kun yi asarar raka'akuɗiRaka'aKuɗin caca na tushe da tsari ko ɗan wasa ke aiki da shi. Ana bayyana jerin ƙarin caca a raka'a don su yi aiki a kowane tebur.Karanta gaba ɗaya → 30, kuma caca ta gaba ita ce 10.
Cace-cacen su ne 1 + 5 = 6, sannan 1 + 6 = 7, 1 + 7 = 8 da 1 + 8 = 9. Ana rubuta kowace asara a ƙarshen layin. Asara zuwa yanzu: 6 + 7 + 8 + 9 = 30.
Jimillar layin yanzu 45 ce: burin 15 tare da 30 da aka rasa. Share shi har yanzu yana cin 15 daidai. Kowace nasara tana goge lambobi biyu, don haka ana buƙatar aƙalla ƙarin nasarori biyar, farawa da cacar raka'a 10, kuma kowace asara a hanya tana sake tsawaita layin.
“Guaranteed Roulette System” na Bartschelly yana farawa da 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2, burin 15. Bayan asara ba ya rubuta adadin da aka rasa a ƙarshe: yana ƙara shi raka'a ɗaya-ɗaya a kan lambobin ƙarshe na layin. Ku rasa cace-cace uku. Mene ne layin, nawa kuka yi asara, kuma mece ce caca ta gaba?
Nuna mafita
Amsa Layin shi ne 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 5 5 5, kun yi asarar raka'a 12, kuma caca ta gaba ita ce 6, daidai kamar a Labouchère na yau da kullum.
Caca ta farko: 1 + 2 = 3. Ta faɗi, kuma raka'a 1 tana shiga kowace daga cikin lambobi uku na ƙarshe: 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3.
Caca ta biyu: 1 + 3 = 4. Ta faɗi: 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 4 4 4.
Caca ta uku: 1 + 4 = 5. Ta faɗi: 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 5 5 5. Asara: 3 + 4 + 5 = 12, kuma jimillar layin 27 ce.
Labouchère na yau da kullum daga farawa iri ɗaya zai sami layin 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 5, wanda jimillarsa ma 27 ce, da caca ta gaba iri ɗaya ta 6. Layin yana tsayawa a lambobi goma, abin da yake kama da mai kwantar da hankali, amma kuɗin caca suna ƙaruwa haka nan.
Kuna buga Labouchère da layin 1 2 3 4. Zuwa yanzu kun rasa cace-cace 12 kuma ba a goge layin gaba ɗaya ba tukuna. Nasarori nawa gaba ɗaya yake buƙata? Idan kun rasa 13 fa?
Nuna mafita
Amsa Nasarori 8 tare da asarori 12, nasarori 9 tare da 13. Ko ta yaya, layin yana ƙarewa da ribar raka'a 10, ko da yake kun ci ƙasa da rabin cace-cacenku.
Ku ƙirga lambobin da ke kan layin. Yana farawa da 4. Kowace asara tana rubuta ƙarin ɗaya; kowace nasara tana goge biyu, ko ta ƙarshe idan ɗaya ce kawai ta rage. Bayan nasarori W da asarori L, 4 + L − 2W ne suke rage, don haka layin yana ƙarewa da zarar 2W ta kai aƙalla 4 + L.
Asarori 12: dole 2W ta kai 16, don haka nasarori 8, cace-cace 20 gaba ɗaya. Asarori 13: dole 2W ta kai 17, don haka nasarori 9, cace-cace 22.
Jerin nasarori da asarori ba ya canza lokacin da layin yake ƙarewa, kuma layin da ya ƙare koyaushe yana biyan jimillar layin farko, a nan raka'a 10. Shi ya sa tsarin yake kama da yana aiki ko da kuna yawan asara fiye da nasara. Abin da jerin yake canzawa shi ne girman kuɗin caca a hanya: dogon jerin asarori zai iya tura su fiye da jarin cacarkukuɗiJarin cacaJimillar kuɗin da aka ware don wasa. Sarrafa jarin caca shi ne yanke shawarar nawa za a sa a haɗari a kowace caca da kowane zaman wasa.Karanta gaba ɗaya → ko iyakar teburiteburIyakar teburiMafi ƙanƙanta da mafi girman cacar da aka yarda da ita. Mafi girman ita ce ke dakatar da jerin ƙarin caca masu ninkawa.Karanta gaba ɗaya → kafin nasarorin su zo (Epstein, 2013).
Ɗan barkwanci
Layin yana ƙarewa a mafi yawan lokaci. Mafi yawa ba duka ba ne.
Majiyoyi
- RouletteDoc. Strategy description and examples.
- Roulette77. Strategy description and examples.
- Roulette77. Reverse Labouchere description.
- Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling.
- Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed.
- Wykes, A. The Complete Illustrated Guide to Gambling.
- Leigh, N. Thirteen Against the Bank.
- Goldman, N. Great Gambling Scams.